Research Highlights & Publicity

• 2022

• Estimate Coupled Cloud Feedbacks from Inexpensive Short-Term Atmosphere-Only Simulations


• Evaluating Climate Models’ Cloud Feedbacks Against Expert Judgment

2021

• Observational Constraints on Low Cloud Feedback Reduce Uncertainty of Climate Sensitivity


• Natural Variability Helps to Explain the Gap Between Atmospheric Warming in Satellite Observations and Climate Models


• Estimate Ensemble Size for Robust ENSO Evaluation in Climate Models


• Satellites may Underestimate Warming in the Troposphere


• Assessing Prior Emergent Constraints on Surface Albedo Feedback in the Latest Earth System Models


• The Convective-To-Total Precipitation Ratio and the “Drizzling” Bias in Climate Models


• Anthropogenic Influence on Extreme Precipitation Over Global Land Areas Seen in Multiple Observational Datasets


• What are the Possible Causes of Wet-Season Dry Biases over Amazonia?


• Performance Changes in Extratropical Modes of Variability Across CMIP Generations


• Climate Models Underestimate Diversity of Synoptic Conditions Associated With Extreme Precipitation Over California


• Evaluating El Niño in Climate Models With the CLIVAR 2020 ENSO Metrics Package


• Climate Models Simulate Extreme Precipitation With Sharply Contrasting Physical Mechanisms


• A Better Way to Gain Insights into Climate Model Moist Process Errors


• Interpreting Modeled Oceans Across CMIP Eras and the Latest Observations


• Learning to Correct Climate Projection Biases


• On the Emergence of Human IInfluence on Surface Air Temperature Changes Over India


• Causes of Polar Amplification in Earth System Models


• Projected Changes to Hydroclimate Seasonality in the Continental United States


• Greater Committed Warming After Accounting for the Pattern Effect


• Emergent Constraints on Climate Sensitivities


• New Insights in Climate Science in 2020


• Evaluating the Diurnal and Semidiurnal Cycle of Precipitation in CMIP6 Models Using Satellite- and Ground-Based Observations

2020

• Latest Earth System Models Predict More Global Warming than their Predecessors


• Human Influence on Joint Changes in Temperature, Rainfall and Continental Aridity


• Simulated Versus Observed Variability in Tropospheric Temperature


• On the correspondence between seasonal forecast biases and long-term climate biases in sea surface temperature


• MJO Propagation Across the Maritime Continent


• Model Quality Impacts Projections of Summer Rainfall


• CMIP6 Volcanic Forcing Error Quantified to be Smaller than Internal Variability


• Different Types of Observations Show Robust Tropospheric Warming and Stratospheric Cooling


• Uncertainty in Future Warming is Reduced by Combining Emergent Constraints


• Human-Induced Changes to the Global Ocean Water Masses and Their Time of Emergence


• Fingerprints of External Forcings on Sahel Rainfall


• International Analysis Narrows Range of Climate’s Sensitivity to CO2


• On the Evolution of Climate Feedbacks and Implied Climate Sensitivity Over Time in Earth System Model Simulations


• Observations for Model Intercomparison Project (Obs4MIPs): Status for CMIP6


• Observed Sensitivity of Low Cloud Radiative Effects to Meteorological Perturbations over the Global Oceans


• Separating Natural From Externally-Forced Contributions to Observed Cloud Cover Trends


• Hadley Circulation Changes Depend on Surface Temperature Anomaly Patterns


• Documenting CMIP6 Models and Simulations


• The Technical Specification of the CMIP6 Data Request

2019

• Quantifying Stochastic Ucertainty in Detection Time of Human-Caused Climate Signals


• Progressing Emergent Constraints on Future Climate Change


• Quantifying the Agreement Between Observed and Simulated Extratropical Modes of Interannual Variability


• Climate Model Climatology Controls Future Changes in Clouds and Relative Humidity


• What are the Causes of Equatorial Pacific Cold Sea Surface Temperature Bias?


• Twentieth Century Hydroclimate Changes Consistent with Human Influence


• Three Anniversaries Important for Climate Science


• Using Ground-Based Observations to Understand How Low Cloud Reflectivity Responds to Warming


• Model Consensus Projections of US Regional Hydroclimates Under Greenhouse Warming

2018

• Ocean Warming: From the Surface to the Deep in Observations and Models


• Human-Caused Signal in the Seasonal Cycle of Tropospheric Temperature


• Evaluation of Proposed Emergent Constraints on Climate Sensitivity


• Drivers of Intermodel Differences in Clear-Sky Climate Feedbacks


• Drivers of the Low Cloud Response to Poleward Jet Shifts in the North Pacific in Observations and Models


• Climate Constraint Represents Forced Signal


• Introduction to the Special Issue on Ocean Warming


• CAUSES: Diagnosis of the Summertime Warm Bias in CMIP5 Climate Models at the ARM Southern Great Plains Site

2017

• Observations Indicate that the Low-Cloud Feedback is Positive


• Competing Influences on Aridity: Present and future


• Clearing Clouds of Uncertainty


• Dependence of Cloud Feedback on the Spatial Pattern of Sea Surface Warming


• Review of Cloud Feedbacks in Climate Models

2016

• Keeping the Lights on for Global Ocean Salinity Observation


• Volcanic Effects on Climate


• Industrial-era Global Ocean Heat Uptake Doubles in Recent Decades


• A More Powerful Reality Test for Climate Models

2015

• Lessons from Madrid for next climate talks


• Observed multi-variable signals of late 20th and early 21st century volcanic activity


• Regional Contributions of ENSO-Driven Precipitation Variability and Slowly-Evolving Mean Precipitation in the Future


• Identifying the Human Fingerprint in Observed Cloud Trends


• Do Responses to Different Anthropogenic Forcings Add Linearly in Climate Models?

2014

• Quantifying Underestimates of Long-term Upper-Ocean Warming


• Long-term Sea-level Change Revisited: The Role of Salinity


• Bioclimatic Evaluation of CMIP Historical Climate Simulations


• Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature


• The Use of Fractional Accumulated Precipitation for the Evaluation of the Annual Cycle of Monsoons

2013

• Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI) fact sheet


• Contributions of radiative forcing and climate feedbacks to range of CMIP5 global warming responses


• New internationally coordinated climate model experiments underway


• Natural and Human Influences on Changing Zonal-Mean Precipitation


• Identifying Human Influences on Atmospheric Temperature


• Human and Natural Influences on the Changing Thermal Structure of the Atmosphere


• The Asian Summer Monsoon: An Intercomparison of CMIP5 vs. CMIP3 Simulations of the Late 20th Century

2012

• Simplified Metrics for the Identification of the Madden-Julian Oscillation in Models

2011

• Ben Santer elected to membership in the National Academy of Sciences


• Ben Santer elected as Fellow of the American Geophysical Union

2010

• American Meteorological Society Special Group Award


• First evidence of long-term human influence in pacific decadal oscillation

2009

• Human versus natural causes of the mid-1970s climate anomaly


• Exploring the role of climate model quality in detection and attribution